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J Biol Dyn ; 16(1): 236-253, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1764446

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we consider the dynamical behaviour of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) susceptible-infected-removed epidemic model with the inclusion of the influence of information intervention and Lévy noise. The existence and uniqueness of the model positive solution are proved. Then, we establish a stochastic threshold as a sufficient condition for the extinction and persistence in mean of the disease. Based on the available COVID-19 data, the parameters of the model were estimated and we fit the model with real statistics. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to support our theoretical results.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Epidemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , Computer Simulation , Humans , Models, Biological , Stochastic Processes
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